GC30mMean reversionTier APass

GC RSI2 COMEX Reclaim (B3_04)

Very short-term dip/spike reclaim in the direction of the trend: RSI(2) recovers from an extreme and the close is on the right side of the 50 EMA.

Last validated: 2026-10-16 (baseline; weekly cadence starts after launch) · Validation status: Pass — Passes the bar; year 1 flat (+$360); 98% of profit came in year 2.

Year 1 was flat or negative. Year 1 $360 (PF 1.04) vs year 2 $20,285 (PF 3.34). Most of the 2-year profit came in the last year of a strong market — do not assume it is spread evenly.
$20,645
Net profit
-$4,387
Max drawdown (TradingView)
4.71×
Net profit ÷ max DD
2.131
Profit factor
59.18% (list)
Win rate
49
Trades (2 years)
$421.33
Avg trade (net ÷ trades, computed)
~25 trades a year
Frequency

1 full-size GC contract ($100 per $1). Test window 2024-09-23 to 2026-09-23 (2 years). Slippage 4 ticks per order, $2.50 commission per contract per side ($5 round trip); $100k account. 4-tick slippage per side = NQ $20, ES $50, GC $40 before commission.

What it does

Plain-English rules

Market
COMEX Gold (GC)
Timeframe
30m — 1h also passes PF/DD (net ÷ DD only 1.6×)
Direction
Long & short, up to 3 trades/day
Style
Mean reversion
Frequency
about 25 trades a year; entries spread across 05:30–09:00 PT
In stacks
GC Stack
  • Long when RSI(2) crosses back above 10 (oversold reclaim) with the close above the EMA(50); short when RSI(2) crosses back below 90 with the close below the EMA(50). In the list: 21 longs (+$10,155) and 28 shorts (+$10,490).
  • Shared GC day-session template: COMEX session 05:20–10:30 PT (08:20–13:30 ET); entries 05:25–09:30 PT, everything flat by 10:30 PT; long and short; ADX(14) ≥ 16 with DI agreeing and ATR ≥ $1; initial stop 1.5×ATR (clamped $2.50–$10.00), profit target at 1.5× the stop distance, trailing stop 2.2×ATR, no opposite-signal exit; up to 3 trades a day, one at a time.
  • Exits in the list: 16 long-exit signals, 21 short-exit signals and 12 flattens at 10:30 PT. Average hold about 1.5 hours.

Summary of the rules. The full parameter-level rules document is delivered to subscribers (documents only — no code).

Evidence

Equity curve & drawdown

Year-by-year

PeriodNetPFTrades
Year 1 (exits to 2025-08-31)$3601.0422
Year 2 (from 2025-09-01)$20,2853.3427

98% of the 2-year profit came in year 2. Year 1 = exits 2024-09-23 to 2025-09-22; year 2 = exits 2025-09-23 to 2026-09-23 (saved trade list clipped to the window: 49 trades, +$20,645, PF 2.13; closed-trade DD $4,115). Per TV4REAL's NQ/GC stack files.

Recent form

Last 3 months (exits 2026-06-24 to 2026-09-23): 10 trades, +$6,330, PF 2.94.

Robustness

Robustness checks not run. 30m and (partly) 1h are in the profitable zone; 15m and 5m lose.

Other timeframes

TimeframeNetPFWin %TradesMax DDResult
1h+$9,4851.64—35$5,932passes PF/DD/trades; net ÷ DD only 1.6×
15m−$12,7500.79—108—loses
5m−$37,2450.80—385—loses
Caveats

Flags for this strategy

  • Year 1 was flat (+$360, PF 1.04): 98% of profit came in year 2.
  • Only 49 trades.
  • The least overlapping GC strategy — only 16–23% of the cross strategies' entry days are G4 days — which is why it is in the GC Stack.
  • The one GC candidate with two timeframes in the profitable zone.
Read this first. Backtest only — no live or forward results. One 2-year window (2024-09-23 to 2026-09-23), a strongly rising market, and the strategies were selected on the same data (selection bias). Profit skews to year 2. Fills assume entry at bar close. No robustness checks (neighbor timeframes, parameter nudges) have been completed yet. Tier B strategies are flagged fragile. Expect live results to be worse. All limitations →
Risk disclosure. Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. All strategy results shown are hypothetical / backtested and have inherent limitations: they do not reflect actual trading and are designed with the benefit of hindsight. There are no live or forward results. Past performance does not guarantee future results. No guarantee of profit is made or implied. Content is for education only and is not financial, investment or trading advice. Stacked Edge is not a registered investment advisor or commodity trading advisor. You are solely responsible for your own trading decisions.