NQ15mMean reversionTier B · fragileFlagged

NQ RMI Reclaim

Buys (or sells) the recovery after the Relative Momentum Index swings to an extreme and reclaims its 30 / 70 level, inside the shared NQ trend filters.

Last validated: 2026-10-16 (baseline; weekly cadence starts after launch) · Validation status: Flagged — Single timeframe (15m only); year 1 PF only 1.11; 49 trades.

Flagged fragile (Tier B). Single timeframe (15m only); year 1 PF only 1.11; 49 trades. This strategy is low priority in stacks and is kept out of headline combined numbers. Read the caveats below before choosing it.
$48,895
Net profit
-$11,932.50
Max drawdown (TradingView)
4.1×
Net profit ÷ max DD
2.433
Profit factor
55.1% (list)
Win rate
49
Trades (2 years)
$997.86
Avg trade (net ÷ trades, computed)
~25 trades a year
Frequency

1 full-size NQ contract. Test window 2024-09-23 to 2026-09-23 (2 years). Slippage 4 ticks per order, $2.50 commission per contract per side ($5 round trip); $100k account. 4-tick slippage per side = NQ $20, ES $50, GC $40 before commission.

What it does

Plain-English rules

Market
Nasdaq-100 E-mini (NQ)
Timeframe
15m — 15m only — 30m drawdown over the cap, 5m weak, 1h too few trades
Direction
Per the script notes: reclaim of the 30 / 70 levels (long and short)
Style
Mean reversion
Frequency
about 25 trades a year
In stacks
—
  • Relative Momentum Index: an RSI computed on 5-bar momentum rather than 1-bar change. A signal fires when it reclaims the 30 level (long) or the 70 level (short), per the script note ('RMI reclaim 30/70 with EMA trend').
  • It sits behind the shared NQ trend gate (EMA-100 and ADX/DI), so trade counts are low — 49 trades in two years.
  • Exits, filters and session limits follow the shared NQ wrapper. The written rules document gives the exact settings.
  • Shared NQ filters: Regular session only; entries from 20 min after the open to 14:30 ET; long and short, one position at a time, max 2 trades/day; trend and volatility filters must agree (price vs 100-EMA and its slope, ADX(14) ≥ 18 with DI agreeing, ATR(14) ≥ 10 pts); initial stop 2.2×ATR then a 2.8×ATR trailing stop; flat at 16:00 ET.

Summary of the rules. The full parameter-level rules document is delivered to subscribers (documents only — no code).

Evidence

Equity curve & drawdown

Year-by-year

PeriodNetPFTrades
Year 1 (exits to 2025-08-31)$2,2551.1126
Year 2 (from 2025-09-01)$46,6404.4423

95% of the 2-year profit came in year 2. Year 1 = exits 2024-09-23 to 2025-09-22; year 2 = exits 2025-09-23 to 2026-09-23 (saved trade list clipped to the window: 49 trades, +$48,895, PF 2.43; closed-trade DD $11,020). Per TV4REAL's NQ/GC stack files.

Recent form

Last 3 months (exits 2026-06-24 to 2026-09-23): 6 trades, +$5,435, PF 2.00.

Robustness

Robustness checks not run. Only 15m passes: 30m breaks the drawdown cap, 5m PF 1.06, 1h has 9 trades.

Other timeframes

TimeframeNetPFWin %TradesMax DDResult
30m————$17,600drawdown over the cap
5m—1.06———fails
1h———9—too few trades
Caveats

Flags for this strategy

  • FRAGILE (Tier B). Single timeframe (15m only); only 49 trades.
  • Year 1 was nearly flat (PF 1.11 — below the 1.15 check); about 95% of profit came in year 2.
  • No trade since 2026-08-28. Recent form is mixed: 6 trades +$5,435 (PF 2.00) in the last 3 months, but an earlier review cut off at 2026-07-11 showed 5 trades at PF 0.55.
  • 84% of its entry days are also DPO entry days; it overlaps Connors only 9–10%.
  • Rules summary comes from the script note; the exact settings are in the rules document.
Read this first. Backtest only — no live or forward results. One 2-year window (2024-09-23 to 2026-09-23), a strongly rising market, and the strategies were selected on the same data (selection bias). Profit skews to year 2. Fills assume entry at bar close. No robustness checks (neighbor timeframes, parameter nudges) have been completed yet. Tier B strategies are flagged fragile. Expect live results to be worse. All limitations →
Risk disclosure. Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. All strategy results shown are hypothetical / backtested and have inherent limitations: they do not reflect actual trading and are designed with the benefit of hindsight. There are no live or forward results. Past performance does not guarantee future results. No guarantee of profit is made or implied. Content is for education only and is not financial, investment or trading advice. Stacked Edge is not a registered investment advisor or commodity trading advisor. You are solely responsible for your own trading decisions.